Monday, June 6, 2011

"The numbers", or "facts is facts"

The numbers don't lie (mostly), and some people who have been speaking out about the real affects of Climate change for YEARS, have previously described the very events that are currently taking place politically, economically, and geophysically.

 "BJOERN H. AMLAND   06/ 6/11 09:40 AM ET   AP   OSLO, Norway — About 42 million people were forced to flee their homes because of natural disasters around the world in 2010, more than double the number during the previous year........" (From the Huff Post online )

Now the thing that I find vey telling is that majority of the scientific community has been speaking about this for a long time and their attitude has been very much one of providing access to the info that they gather, statistics and models, projections based on previous events.  

I think of it like somebody saying that if your car has a range of 200 miles (defined by tank size and average mileage) and you plan a trip of 300 miles you will either need to get more fuel along the way or you will not make your destination.  Simple, right? But nothing is really ever simple, or isolated, as it is on paper or in the lab.  

If they were to say you will run out of gas in 200 miles then they would have to ASSUME you started with a full tank.   They would have to assume, likewise that the terrain is all flat and would not alter your fuel consumption.  They might not have taken into account your use of AC or electronics that put added strain on your alternator and engine, the state of your tires, if you start and stop along the way and add more weight.....You can see that it is not so straight forward.

The scientist that create models to predict the possible affects of climate change have often been wrong in their forecasts.  Things have been happening faster, or stronger than most predictions have been stating.  These are not Hollywood movie size predictions or rates.  They are real life events and real life scale, but they do border on the fantastic now, and the timeline is not what we are used to.

Change is difficult.  It consumes a great deal more energy than stasis.  That's physical, mental, emotional, economic, and spiritual energy.  The World is a world in change.  Read Bill Mckibben's "Eaarth".  Even more importantly read the news of what is happening on earth, our home.  Read multiple sides to any one story.  Read about what is happening in parts of the world you have never been to, as well as in your own community.

Even if climate change, changes, and becomes less of a threat to our species, our species could be less of a threat to the climate (environment), to other species (plant and animal) and especially to ourselves.

It seems quite ironic to me (maybe moronic)  that most of the trouble that threatens us can be sourced back to our very own activities, our lack of being reasonable about what we ask of each other, our surroundings, our lives.


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